Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Editor’s Pick

UK house prices fall at sharpest pace in almost two years

UK house prices suffered their biggest monthly drop for almost two years in October, with the fall largely brought on by the mini-budget and the “significant shock” it caused the property market.

House prices fell by 0.4 per cent last month, according to Halifax, the high street lender, which said it was the steepest fall since February 2021.

On Halifax’s metric, it is the third time in four months that house prices have fallen and takes the average price of a UK home down to £292,598, its lowest since May this year.

Compared with last October, house prices are 8.3 per cent higher, which is the weakest annual rate of inflation since the end of last year. Aside from the northeast of England, annual price growth slowed in every region last month.

“While a post-pandemic slowdown was expected, there’s no doubt the housing market received a significant shock as a result of the mini-budget which saw a sudden acceleration in mortgage rate increases,” Kim Kinnaird, Halifax’s director of mortgages, said.

Halifax’s data is the latest confirmation that, after two years of rapid growth, the property market is starting to cool.

Nationwide, which uses a slightly different method to calculate its house price index, said last week that house prices decreased for the first time in 15 months in October.

Estate agents saw deals fall through and would-be buyers withdraw their interest in the days that followed Kwasi Kwarteng’s mini-budget. His plans spooked the bond markets and prompted a sharp increase in interest rate expectations. Amid the chaos, lenders increased their mortgage rates or pulled products altogether.

The housing market had started to slow down even before the then chancellor stepped up to the dispatch box, with the market unable to maintain the record-breaking growth it had enjoyed over the previous two years, especially with households enduring the worst cost of living crisis for decades.

Since just before the pandemic, house prices have risen by more than 25 per cent, Halifax estimates. Even with the recent fallback, prices remain within a whisker of their dearest ever.

Kinnaird believes it “likely” that house prices will rise to new records over the longer term, particularly given the well-documented shortage of homes up for sale.

However, in the short term, prices will be determined by the health of the labour market as well as the depth and length of the looming recession.

“The rising cost of living coupled with already stretched mortgage affordability is expected to continue to weigh on activity levels,” she said. “With tax rises and spending cuts expected in the autumn statement, economic headwinds point to a much slower period for house prices.”

The consensus among estate agents is that house prices will fall by about 10 per cent over the next year or so as higher mortgage costs limit what people can afford.

“It’s a fair assumption that house prices have peaked following growth of more than 20 per cent during the pandemic,” Tom Bill, Knight Frank’s head of residential research, said. “After 13 years of ultra-low borrowing costs, anyone buying a house or re-mortgaging will recognise the ground has shifted, which is the reason we expect prices to fall back to the level they were at in summer 2021.”

Your information is secure and your privacy is protected. By opting in you agree to receive emails from us. Remember that you can opt-out any time, we hate spam too!



THE PESO is expected to strengthen versus the dollar this week ahead of the release of the latest Philippine manufacturing data and expectations of...


BW FILE PHOTO LOCAL EQUITIES are expected to trade with a downward bias this week as investors are expected to pocket their profits as...


The National Government’s budget deficit ballooned to P99.1 billion in October, as state spending outpaced revenue collections, the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) reported...


LIONEL MESSI (ARG), celebrates with team in Group C match between Argentina 2-0 Mexico at Lusail Stadium in Lusail, Qatar. — NAOKI MORITA/AFLO SPORT/REUTERS DOHA —...


THE BLUE Eagles on Saturday got payback on rival and reigning champion UP with a 75-67 win. — UAAP MEDIA CLINCHING a twice-to-beat bonus...


TAI BIERRIA unloaded a match-high 21 points while presiding over her team’s net defense with three blocks. — PHILIPPINE STAR/JUN MENDOZA Games Tomorrow(PhilSports Arena)2:30...

You May Also Like


BW FILE PHOTO GROSS BORROWINGS by the National Government reached P2.6 trillion as of end-September as it continued to raise funds to respond to...


KARASOLAR.COM TENA, Ecuador — Ecuador’s rainforest Achuar people say their ancestors long dreamed of a “fire canoe” or “electric fish” that would let them...


REUTERS By Luz Wendy T. Noble, Reporter The country’s foreign exchange buffers slightly increased as of end-October as the value of the central bank’s...


COVID-19 has had a significant impact on the mental health of Filipinos across different groups all over the archipelago. From frontline workers, parents balancing...

Disclaimer: Respect, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively "The Company") do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Copyright © 2022 Respect Investment. All Rights Reserved.