- Bitcoin price is trading near the $62.8K zone.
- BTC’s macro trend is strong and remains firmly in bullish territory.
The chart shows that the Bitcoin dominance peaked in early 2025 and has been quietly losing ground. Right now, it sits at 58.23%, and an analyst thinks it’s heading to sub-55%. The reasoning is straightforward. Since the breakdown last summer, the dominance has printed a clear lower high. Each attempt to reclaim that level has failed. That’s not consolidation, it’s trend flip.
With the Clarity closing in and Ethereum showing noticeably stronger price action than Bitcoin, capital is beginning to rotate. When regulation gives altcoins a cleaner runway, dominance tends to fall fast.
The last BTC bull cycle was shallow by historical standards; it didn’t extend the way previous cycles did. Most traders built their entire playbook around that cycle. This time around, those same traders are likely to sell too early, missing the real move.
$500,000 BTC is not off the table this cycle. If dominance drops to sub-55%, that’s not bearish for Bitcoin; it infers that the whole market is running, with the asset still leading from the front. It expects altcoin strength to build as dominance fades, with Bitcoin potentially making its biggest move when traders least expect it.
Significantly, the BTC price has undergone multiple tests and faced rejections. All the major recovery attempts are landing at the weak zone itself. At press time, the largest asset trades within the $62,801 mark, after a modest 2.09% loss in value. Besides, the Bitcoin market has experienced a liquidation of $72.91 million.
Bitcoin Eyes Its Next Target: Uptrend or Pullback?
The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend experiencing a short-term pullback. Both Moving Average Convergence Divergence and signal lines are above the zero line, which shows that the macro trend is structurally strong and remains firmly in bullish territory.
But with the MACD below the signal line, the immediate, short-term buying momentum is slowing down. This is a bullish consolidation, and the Bitcoin market is cooling off within an active uptrend.
Moreover, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 40.85 suggests that the market is in a mildly bearish, defensive position. Sellers have the edge because it is sitting below the neutral line. While the trend is negative, BTC is not oversold.
Also, there is no sign of panic selling or absolute market exhaustion; rather, the price is slowly grinding lower or consolidating with a downward bias. This is a weak, and the asset is vulnerable to further downside unless a surge of buying volume arrives to reclaim the 50 line.
The 4-hour trading window of BTC exhibits that if the bearish momentum strengthens, the price could slip to the $62,719 support. With the downtrend gaining more traction, the price could fall even lower. On the other hand, assuming Bitcoin’s turn toward the upside, it might hit the $62,923 resistance range. In a highly bullish context, the potent bulls would trigger the asset to climb to its recent highs.
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