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Walmart reveals its most important investment yet

Walmart just showed investors that even a strong quarter can come with a warning.

The retailer beat Wall Street expectations in its fiscal second quarter, with revenue rising 5.9% to $187.9 billion and adjusted earnings reaching 81 cents per share, CNBC confirmed. 

But the company’s outlook for the next quarter disappointed investors, and Walmart shares fell sharply following the report. 

There was a particularly important reason for that cautious outlook.

Walmart is choosing to go all-in on lower prices. And that may be the company’s most important investment right now.

Walmart is spending on what shoppers care about most

Walmart management was unusually direct about its strategy during its second-quarter 2027 earnings call.

“We’re investing heavily in price because customers need us to,” said CEO John Furner.

That’s a simple statement, but it explains a lot about Walmart’s thinking. The retailer is using money that could otherwise flow toward higher profits to make products cheaper for customers. 

Related: Major supermarket chain closing more stores

Walmart has already rolled back prices on more than 11,000 items. And the company says those investments will weigh more heavily in the coming quarter — hence the disconnect between Walmart’s strong second-quarter results and the market’s negative reaction.

The company reported solid revenue growth, while its U.S. comparable-store sales increased 2.6%. 

But investors may not love the fact that the company appears willing to sacrifice some near-term profitability to reinforce its reputation as the retailer consumers can count on for low prices. 

Walmart is doing everything possible to keep prices low for customers.

Iv-olga/Shutterstock.com

Consumers still need a break

Inflation has cooled from its recent highs, but that doesn’t mean consumers suddenly feel comfortable.

The latest available Consumer Price Index showed prices rising 3.4% over the 12 months ending in July. Grocery prices increased 2.7%, while gasoline prices rose 24.6%.

Those numbers help explain why Walmart’s price strategy matters.

Consumers don’t necessarily need to be in an economic crisis to change their shopping habits. They simply need to feel that their paycheck isn’t going as far as it used to.

Recent consumer behavior suggests exactly that. Reuters reported that shoppers are becoming more selective, with middle-income consumers prioritizing necessities and postponing larger purchases as gasoline prices and other costs remain elevated. 

That environment plays directly into Walmart’s strengths.

This could be Walmart’s smartest move

Walmart already has an enormous reach. That gives it an advantage when negotiating with suppliers and distributing products across its stores, warehouses, and digital business.

Now, the company is using some of that advantage to make prices more attractive.

More Retail:

That’s not necessarily the easiest strategy for investors to embrace, since lower prices can mean lower margins.

But Walmart isn’t trying to win one quarter. It’s trying to secure loyal customers in the long run.

Of course, it’s worth noting that foot traffic has been moderate at Walmart. Visits rose 0.7% year over year at Walmart in Q2, with average visits per location up 0.6%, according to data from Placer.ai

“Walmart’s in-store traffic growth has been softer than its other superstore peers, but that is not a full indication of its performance,” Elizabeth Lafontaine, director of research at Placer.ai, told TheStreet. 

“Continued growth in its digital channels and customer-service-based options like delivery may be outpacing the rate of store visits. A pick-up during the back-to-school period may signal consumer affinity as shoppers look for deals and lower prices amidst economic uncertainty.”

All told, if shoppers believe Walmart is consistently cheaper than its competitors, that can drive more traffic, larger baskets, and additional market-share gains. 

And that’s why the company’s decision to invest in lower prices makes sense. 

At a time when consumers are still watching every dollar, Walmart is betting that giving shoppers a reason to believe they’re getting a better deal will pay off over the long term.

Maurie Backman owns shares of Walmart.

Related: Costco makes key move to expand membership base

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